Super Thursday: final polling averages & projections

LONDON MAYOR - Sadiq Khan to win ✔

1st Preferences:

• Sadiq Khan (Labour) - 45.6%
• Zac Goldsmith (Conservative) - 33.8%
• Caroline Pidgeon (Lib Dem) - 5.5%
• Peter Whittle (UKIP) - 5.4%
• Sian Berry (Green) - 5.3%
• George Galloway (Respect) - 1.3%
• Sophie Walker (Women's Equality) - 1.0%
• All others - 2.1%

With 2nd preferences:

• Sadiq Khan (Labour) - 57.3% ✔
• Zac Goldsmith (Conservative) - 42.7%

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

LONDON ASSEMBLY - Labour to win ✔

Overall seat count:

• Labour - 11 (-1)
• Conservative - 8 (-1)
• UKIP - 2 (+2)
• Green - 2 (-)
• Lib Dem - 2 (-)
• Women's Equality - 0 (n/a)
• Others - 0 (-)

Constituency Vote:

• Labour - 44.3% (+2.0%)
• Conservative - 30.0% (-2.7%)
• UKIP - 10.7% (+6.4%)
• Green - 6.9% (-1.6%)
• Lib Dem - 7.3% (-1.5%)
• Others - 0.9% (-2.6%)

List Vote:

• Labour - 39.8% (-1.3%)
• Conservative - 29.0% (-3.0%)
• UKIP - 10.7% (+6.2%)
• Green - 8.7% (+0.2%)
• Lib Dem - 8.0% (+1.2%)
• Women's Equality - 1.9% (n/a)
• Others - 0.9% (-3.2%)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

WELSH ASSEMBLY - Labour to win (minority government) ✔

Overall seat count:

• Labour - 28 (-2)
• Plaid Cymru - 11 (-)
• Conservative - 11 (-3)
• UKIP - 8 (+8)
• Lib Dem - 2 (-3)
• Green Party - 0 (-)
• Abolish The Welsh Assembly - 0 (n/a)
• Others - 0 (-)

Constituency Vote:

• Labour - 32.8% (-9.5%)
• Conservative - 20.4% (-4.6%)
• Plaid Cymru - 19.4% (+0.1%)
• UKIP - 15.6% (n/a)
• Lib Dem - 7.9% (-2.7%)
• Green Party - 1.7% (+1.5%)
• Abolish The Welsh Assembly - 0.2% (n/a)
• Others - 2.0% (-0.7%)

List Vote:

• Labour - 30.3% (-6.6%)
• Plaid Cymru - 20.3% (+2.4%)
• Conservative - 19.6% (-2.9%)
• UKIP - 15.6% (+11.0%)
• Lib Dem - 6.4% (-1.6%)
• Green Party - 4.0% (+0.6%)
• Abolish The Welsh Assembly - 2.7% (n/a)
• Others - 1.0% (-5.7%)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT - Scottish National Party to win (majority government) ✔

Overall seat count:

• SNP - 70 (+1)
• Conservative - 24 (+9)
• Labour - 21 (-16)
• Green - 8 (+6)
• Lib Dem - 6 (+1)
• UKIP - 0 (-)
• RISE - 0 (-)
• Others - 0 (-1)

Constituency Vote:

• SNP - 49.2% (+3.8%)
• Labour - 20.7% (-11.0%)
• Conservative - 18.5% (+4.6%)
• Lib Dem - 6.7% (-1.2%)
• Others - 4.8% (+3.7%)

List Vote:

• SNP - 42.9% (-1.1%)
• Conservative - 19.5% (+7.2%)
• Labour - 18.4% (-7.9%)
• Green - 8.6% (+4.2%)
• Lib Dem - 6.2% (+1.0%)
• UKIP - 2.8% (+1.9%)
• RISE - 0.4% (-0.5%)
• Others - 1.2% (-4.7%)